Scratch-Off Hub

Virginia Scratch-Off Games

How Are the Odds Calculated for Virginia Scratch-Off Games?

The odds and statistics for Virginia's scratch-off games are based on official lottery data processed through advanced statistical models. This is to help players understand their chances of winning in Virginia's scratch-off games. Here's how each metric is determined:

  • Starting Odds: These are the official odds provided by the Virginia lottery at the scratch-off game's launch. They indicate the probability of winning any prize when all tickets are still in circulation.
  • Estimated % Tickets Remaining: The Virginia lottery does not disclose the exact number of remaining scratch-off tickets, so we estimate this figure based on the number of claimed prizes compared to the game's original prize structure. For example, if a game started with 10 million scratch-off tickets and half of the top prizes are gone, we estimate that about 50% of the scratch-off tickets have been sold.
  • Odds to Win $100/$1,000/$10,000 or More: These odds reflect the likelihood of winning higher-tier prizes in Virginia scratch-off games. We calculate them by summing the probabilities of all applicable prize amounts using the current odds.
  • Odds to Win the Grand Prize: This metric represents the probability of winning the game's largest prize. It is adjusted for estimated remaining tickets and updated odds.