$500,000 MATCH TO WIN
State: New York
Last Updated: 08/18/2025 at 01:20PM EDT
Image Credit: New York State Lottery
Ticket Price: $5
Expected Value (EV): -$1.69
Starting Odds: 1 in 4.16
Current Odds to Win $100 or More: 1 in 273.29
Current Odds to Win $1,000 or More: 1 in 488,374.99
Current Odds to Win $10,000 or More: 1 in 1,465,124.96
Estimated Tickets Remaining: 2,930,249.92 (49.07%)
Total $500,000 Prizes Remaining: 2 out of 3
Total $2,000 Prizes Remaining: 4 out of 10
Total $500 Prizes Remaining: 289 out of 618
About "$500,000 MATCH TO WIN" Scratch-Off Game in New York
The "$500,000 MATCH TO WIN" scratch-off game is one of the lottery options available in New York. The price of a ticket is $5.
The Expected Value (EV) of a ticket in $500,000 MATCH TO WIN is -$1.69, which represents the average return based on current prizes remaining.
When this game was first released, the starting odds of winning were 1 in 4.16.
The odds of winning at least $100 in $500,000 MATCH TO WIN are 1 in 273.29.
The chances of securing $1,000 or more are 1 in 488,374.99.
For those dreaming of hitting a jackpot, the odds of winning $10,000 or more are 1 in 1,465,124.96.
As of the last update on 08/18/2025 at 01:20PM EDT, approximately 49.07% of tickets are still in circulation. This means there are still unclaimed prizes waiting to be won in New York's $500,000 MATCH TO WIN scratch-off game.
Prize Chart
| Prize | Total Prizes | Prizes Remaining | Starting Odds | Current Odds | Change in Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5 | 597,582 | 296,169 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 9.89 | 1.06% |
| $10 | 597,539 | 292,405 | 1 in 10 | 1 in 10.02 | -0.21% |
| $15 | 95,644 | 46,372 | 1 in 62.48 | 1 in 63.19 | -1.14% |
| $20 | 47,836 | 23,048 | 1 in 124.93 | 1 in 127.14 | -1.77% |
| $50 | 74,709 | 35,671 | 1 in 79.99 | 1 in 82.15 | -2.7% |
| $100 | 18,169 | 8,756 | 1 in 328.92 | 1 in 334.66 | -1.74% |
| $200 | 3,496 | 1,671 | 1 in 1,709.41 | 1 in 1,753.59 | -2.58% |
| $500 | 618 | 289 | 1 in 9,670.06 | 1 in 10,139.27 | -4.85% |
| $2,000 | 10 | 4 | 1 in 597,610 | 1 in 732,562.48 | -22.58% |
| $500,000 | 3 | 2 | 1 in 1,992,033.33 | 1 in 1,465,124.96 | 26.45% |
How Are the Odds Calculated for New York Scratch-Off Games?
The odds and statistics for New York's scratch-off games are based on official lottery data processed through statistical models. This is to help players understand their chances of winning in New York's scratch-off games. Here's how each metric is determined:
- Starting Odds: These are the official odds provided by the New York lottery at the scratch-off game's launch. They indicate the probability of winning any prize when all tickets are still in circulation.
- Estimated % Tickets Remaining: If not provided by the state, this is estimated based on the number of claimed prizes relative to the game's original prize structure. For example, if a game started with 1 million scratch-off tickets and half of the top prizes have been claimed, it is estimated that about 50% of the scratch-off tickets have been sold.
- Current Odds to Win $100/$1,000/$10,000 or More: These odds indicate the likelihood of winning higher-tier prizes in New York scratch-off games. They are determined by summing the probabilities of all applicable prize amounts using the current odds.
- Current Odds to Win the Grand Prize: This metric shows the probability of winning the game's largest prize, adjusted for the estimated remaining tickets and current odds.
- Expected Value (EV): EV represents the average return of a single scratch-off ticket based on the current prizes remaining. It is calculated by multiplying each prize amount by its probability of winning (prizes remaining ÷ estimated tickets remaining), summing these values, and subtracting the ticket price. A positive EV indicates an expected profit per ticket, while a negative EV indicates an expected loss.
Games, prizes, and odds for New York scratch-off games are sourced directly fromThe Official New York Lottery website.