Game No. 2653 - Million Dollar Loteria
State: Texas
Last Updated: 08/18/2025 at 12:11PM EDT

Image Credit: Texas State Lottery
Ticket Price: $20
Expected Value (EV): -$4.96
Starting Odds: 1 in 3.29
Current Odds to Win $100 or More: 1 in 18.46
Current Odds to Win $1,000 or More: 1 in 8,582.65
Current Odds to Win $10,000 or More: 1 in 458,828.47
Estimated Tickets Remaining: 22,941,423.34 (94.76%)
Total $1,000,000 Prizes Remaining: 10 out of 10
Total $20,000 Prizes Remaining: 40 out of 40
Total $5,000 Prizes Remaining: 311 out of 328
About "Game No. 2653 - Million Dollar Loteria" Scratch-Off Game in Texas
The "Game No. 2653 - Million Dollar Loteria" scratch-off game is one of the lottery options available in Texas. The price of a ticket is $20.
The Expected Value (EV) of a ticket in Game No. 2653 - Million Dollar Loteria is -$4.96, which represents the average return based on current prizes remaining.
When this game was first released, the starting odds of winning were 1 in 3.29.
The odds of winning at least $100 in Game No. 2653 - Million Dollar Loteria are 1 in 18.46.
The chances of securing $1,000 or more are 1 in 8,582.65.
For those dreaming of hitting a jackpot, the odds of winning $10,000 or more are 1 in 458,828.47.
As of the last update on 08/18/2025 at 12:11PM EDT, approximately 94.76% of tickets are still in circulation. This means there are still unclaimed prizes waiting to be won in Texas's Game No. 2653 - Million Dollar Loteria scratch-off game.
Prize Chart
Prize | Total Prizes | Prizes Remaining | Starting Odds | Current Odds | Change in Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
$20 | 2,904,374 | 2,753,230 | 1 in 8.34 | 1 in 8.33 | 0.04% |
$30 | 1,695,038 | 1,606,129 | 1 in 14.28 | 1 in 14.28 | -0% |
$40 | 484,034 | 458,555 | 1 in 50.02 | 1 in 50.03 | -0.02% |
$50 | 968,409 | 917,262 | 1 in 25 | 1 in 25.01 | -0.04% |
$100 | 866,645 | 820,913 | 1 in 27.94 | 1 in 27.95 | -0.04% |
$150 | 193,706 | 183,575 | 1 in 124.98 | 1 in 124.97 | 0.01% |
$200 | 174,386 | 165,334 | 1 in 138.83 | 1 in 138.76 | 0.05% |
$250 | 63,014 | 59,694 | 1 in 384.2 | 1 in 384.32 | -0.03% |
$500 | 11,290 | 10,670 | 1 in 2,144.4 | 1 in 2,150.09 | -0.27% |
$1,000 | 2,415 | 2,312 | 1 in 10,024.94 | 1 in 9,922.76 | 1.02% |
$5,000 | 328 | 311 | 1 in 73,811.66 | 1 in 73,766.63 | 0.06% |
$20,000 | 40 | 40 | 1 in 605,255.63 | 1 in 573,535.58 | 5.24% |
$1,000,000 | 10 | 10 | 1 in 2,421,022.5 | 1 in 2,294,142.33 | 5.24% |
How Are the Odds Calculated for Texas Scratch-Off Games?
The odds and statistics for Texas's scratch-off games are based on official lottery data processed through statistical models. This is to help players understand their chances of winning in Texas's scratch-off games. Here's how each metric is determined:
- Starting Odds: These are the official odds provided by the Texas lottery at the scratch-off game's launch. They indicate the probability of winning any prize when all tickets are still in circulation.
- Estimated % Tickets Remaining: If not provided by the state, this is estimated based on the number of claimed prizes relative to the game's original prize structure. For example, if a game started with 1 million scratch-off tickets and half of the top prizes have been claimed, it is estimated that about 50% of the scratch-off tickets have been sold.
- Current Odds to Win $100/$1,000/$10,000 or More: These odds indicate the likelihood of winning higher-tier prizes in Texas scratch-off games. They are determined by summing the probabilities of all applicable prize amounts using the current odds.
- Current Odds to Win the Grand Prize: This metric shows the probability of winning the game's largest prize, adjusted for the estimated remaining tickets and current odds.
- Expected Value (EV): EV represents the average return of a single scratch-off ticket based on the current prizes remaining. It is calculated by multiplying each prize amount by its probability of winning (prizes remaining ÷ estimated tickets remaining), summing these values, and subtracting the ticket price. A positive EV indicates an expected profit per ticket, while a negative EV indicates an expected loss.
Games, prizes, and odds for Texas scratch-off games are sourced directly fromThe Official Texas Lottery website.